Commercial investment

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Commercial Investment

Outlook: German real estate market in 2019

"Hand on heart, if somebody had told you ten years ago that property prices in Germany would at least double over the coming decade, would you have believed them? On 15 September 2008, investment bank Lehman Brothers filed for insolvency, marking the nadir of the global financial crisis. The crisis would lay the foundations for a perhaps unparalleled real estate boom, not least in Germany. Over the last ten years, purchases of residential and commercial property by institutional investors have totalled half a trillion euros (€120bn for residential property and €380bn for commercial property). Such inflows of capital are unprecedented in the German real estate market. This surge in demand has driven prices to an extent that nobody would have truly expected. Capital values have doubled across practically all property sectors during this period, reaching new record levels across the board."

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Commercial Investment

Market in Minutes - Germany commercial investment market Q3 2018

"The list of geopolitical and other risks for the global economy has not shortened and continues to make capital market participants highly risk averse. Evidently, commercial property in Germany remains among the beneficiaries of this scenario. The transaction volume in the third quarter of 2018 totalled almost €15.6bn, making it not only the strongest quarter of the year but also the strongest third quarter in the current cycle.The purchaser structure remains highly diverse. By way of example, more than 100 different investors have invested at least €100m during the year to date, which is unprecedented at this point in a year."

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Commercial Investment

Market in Minutes - Germany commercial investment market Q2 2018

"Commercial property changed hands for more than €25.2bn in the first half of 2018, a decrease of 8% compared with the corresponding period last year. Nevertheless, this still represents the second highest investment volume for the corresponding period during the current market cycle.Even in this late stage of the current market cycle, most investors are obviously still within their comfort zone in terms of risk. At the same time, however, defensive investment strategies appear to be gaining traction. Examples of this include increasing investment in healthcare property, which is relatively independent of economic conditions, and acquisitions of operator-managed properties with long leases."

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